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The Polish Politics of Confusion – The First Fragment: The Population’s Trust

On the 4th of January the Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki, a member of the right-wing political party PiS, held a Q and A session on Facebook, where he answered some questions regarding the government’s plans for 2021. He spoke about, what he referred to as, the ‘new polish order’, which revolved around ‘beating the pandemic in the next two, four, five months and then rising again through kick-starting investments and putting more money into the development of the economy including gastronomy and services’ (mjz/tr, 2021). Some received this speech as a reassurance, yet a vast majority approached the statement with scepticism and mistrust, caused mainly by the fact that throughout 2020 the government has often released numerous statements, which later turned out to be untrue, reversed, forgotten or held some hidden agendas, and did not, in the end, have any benefit to the society at all.

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This type of behaviour of releasing confusing or vague claims to the public realm has been a strategy taken by the government for quite some time, but truly came to light this year when, more so than ever, the society, which found itself in a precarious environment, looked to the ruling party for support and help. The effects of these actions were in some cases mild, like when the government prohibited to go outdoors on the evening of New Years (Berenda 2020). Upon hearing the news, many rose to protest against, not only the fact that forbidding the freedom of movement is an act of breaking a constitutional right (BusinessInsider, 2020), but also against the fact that they saw the prohibition as a contradiction to the statements made by Mateusz Morawiecki himself, as he claimed that Poland has already managed to overcome the spread of the virus and ‘win the battle with the pandemic’ (Kublik, 2020). In addition to that, many of those involved in the strike expressed their confusion about the fact that, less than two months ago, the Prime Minister himself stated that ‘the government is not there to tell people how to live’ (Zygiel, 2020). The government immediately retracted the word “prohibition”, which only sparked more misunderstanding, but the debate was quickly settled.

In other cases, however, the confounding actions of the government have caused a severe strain. One example includes the way the government remained vague about whose interest they are actually supporting when they hinted at, but never actually introduced, the state of emergency in Poland in relation to the pandemic, as this would mean that many individuals and businesses would be entitled to claim financial support, which the ruling party prefers to avoid to pay out (KBB, 2020). It left many struggling for money and trying to make ends meet in one lockdown after another with no clear direction, game plan or support. This was further exacerbated by their threat to veto the EU budget for 2021, which, if done, would have caused irreversible damage to the Polish economy.

It is no surprise that the politics of confusion caused damaged to the population’s trust. The Poles find themselves in a difficult situation. Who can truly help them recover in 2021? This question remains unanswered.

Sources

Berenda, K., 2020. Zakaz Wychodzenia Z Domu W Sylwestra: Będą Wyjątki. [online] Rmf24.pl. Available at: <https://www.rmf24.pl/raporty/raport-koronawirus-z-chin/polska/news-zakaz-wychodzenia-z-domu-w-sylwestra-beda-wyjatki,nId,4935109> [Accessed 5 January 2021].

BusinessInsider, 2020. Koronawirus Wymusi Stan Nadzwyczajny? To Oznaczałoby Daleko Idące Ograniczenie Praw I Wolności. [online] Business Insider. Available at: <https://businessinsider.com.pl/firmy/przepisy/koronawirus-w-polsce-stan-wyjatkowy-i-stan-kleski-zywiolowej-ograniczenia/gsh3bz3> [Accessed 5 January 2021].

Kublik, A., 2020. Wyborcza.Pl. [online] Wyborcza.pl. Available at: <https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,26562356,tak-wladza-bagatelizowala-pandemie-i-chwalila-sie-nikt-nam.html?disableRedirects=true> [Accessed 5 January 2021].

KBB, 2020. Co Rząd Zrobi Z Pandemią? Zdaniem Politologa Protesty Ograniczyły Pulę Możliwych Rozwiązań. [online] www.money.pl. Available at: <https://www.money.pl/gospodarka/co-rzad-zrobi-z-pandemia-protesty-ograniczyly-pule-mozliwych-rozwiazan-6569884927437504a.html> [Accessed 5 January 2021].

mjz/tr, 2021. Premier Zapowiada “Nowy Polski Ład” Na Czas “Popandemicznej Normalności”. [online] TVN24. Available at: <https://tvn24.pl/polska/koronawirus-w-polsce-premier-mateusz-morawiecki-zapowiada-nowy-polski-lad-4920587> [Accessed 5 January 2021].

Zygiel, A., 2020. Morawiecki: Wierzyliśmy, Że Pandemia Jest W Odwrocie. Ja Tak Wierzyłem. [online] Rmf24.pl. Available at: <https://www.rmf24.pl/raporty/raport-koronawirus-z-chin/polska/news-morawiecki-wierzylismy-ze-pandemia-jest-w-odwrocie-ja-tak-wi,nId,4856657> [Accessed 5 January 2021].

Why no foreign boots will be on Ukraine’s ground

During the last weeks, the world has been closely watching what is happening at the Ukrainian-Russian border. Despite the fact that the Ukrainian border has been the focus of attention for some years, the current crisis is taking another level. This is due to the deployment of a great number of Russian troops to the border, raising concerns about the region’s future and making experts speculate about a Russian invasion. However, even though specialists and pundits are warning decision-makers of the risk of a major war involving great powers, there are some reasons to doubt that there will be a Russian invasion or a deployment of NATO’s forces in Ukrainian territory, let alone a major conflict.

Lessons on Insurgency and Counterinsurgency (COIN) from Star Wars

In the aftermath of the war in Afghanistan, much can be learned from Star Wars about the practice of Counterinsurgency (COIN). In the fictional universe, the period between the final moments of Episode III: The Revenge of the Sith (ROTS) and Episode VI: The Return of the Jedi (ROTJ) would be when COIN tactics would be most clearly utilized. With Afghanistan, the United States effectively lost, the Taliban taking control of Kabul and pushing out the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan, the pro-democracy, U.S.-allied government. This is quite similar to how the Empire itself lost to the Rebel Alliance; a large, technologically advanced force being overwhelmed by a smaller, primitive force. However, beyond this similarity of being an insurgency, the Taliban and the Alliance share little else.

Politics of Confusion – The sixth fragment: Apathy

On November 23, 2021, the European Parliament denied Mateusz Morawiecki the opportunity to speak during a debate regarding the current situation on the Belarusian border. Even though for an average polish citizen it is disheartening to see that Poland is no longer considered a reliable and significant debating partner, it is an understandable decision, which can be justified by tracing the chronology of events from this year that have contributed to the deteriorating relations with Belarus and the EU and which Poland could have, on multiple occasions, taken control of.

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